WN 3364 · PHL → MDW

departs 7:40 PM ET · arrives 8:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

68% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
41%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at PHL that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.15 in

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3364 · PHL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?