WN 3390 · BNA → MDW

departs 5:48 PM CT · arrives 7:33 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3390 · BNA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?