Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3398 LANDED 7:27 PM CT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 3398 · SAN → BNA

took off 2:08 PM PT · landed 7:27 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3398 · SAN → BNA

Odds over time