WN 3399 · MKE → MCO

took off 9:16 AM CT · expected to land 12:27 PM ET (scheduled 9:10 AM CT → 12:58 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MCO?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ MCO is busy at that time

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3399 · MKE → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?