Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 3411 · PWM → BNA
departs 3:40 PM ET · arrives 5:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave PWM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at PWM that day
Weather at each end
PWM (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.