WN 3416 · PHX → LGB

departs 7:51 PM MT · arrives 9:19 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3416 · PHX → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?