WN 3421 · SAN → PIT

departs 12:40 PM PT · arrives 8:13 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from SAN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ SAN is busy at that time

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PIT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3421 · SAN → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?