WN 342 · PNS → AUS

took off 10:54 AM CT · expected to land 12:21 PM CT (scheduled 9:56 AM CT → 11:58 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

91% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

LIVE

On time or early
9%
15–30 min late
48%
30 min–1 hour late
43%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 3.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ 9am departures from PNS are usually not late

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.23 in

AUS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 342 · PNS → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?