Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3462 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 3462 · PHX → SAN

departs 4:26 PM MT · arrives 5:11 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

87% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at PHX that day

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3462 · PHX → SAN

Odds over time