WN 3526 · DAL → LGA

departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 11:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

LGA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3526 · DAL → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?