WN 3529 · HOU → PNS

departs 10:15 AM CT · arrives 11:59 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 4.0 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.40 in

PNS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip4.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3529 · HOU → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?