WN 3529 · PNS → BNA

took off 12:33 PM CT · expected to land 1:41 PM CT (scheduled 12:26 PM CT → 2:06 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.25 in

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3529 · PNS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?