WN 3553 · PNS → DAL

departs 4:11 PM CT · arrives 6:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.23 in

DAL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3553 · PNS → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?