WN 3561 · RDU → DEN

took off 5:32 AM ET · expected to land 6:42 AM MT (scheduled 5:30 AM ET → 7:14 AM MT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at RDU that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from RDU are usually not late

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.03 in

DEN (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3561 · RDU → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?