WN 3600 · RSW → BNA

took off 2:10 PM ET · landed 2:47 PM CT (scheduled 1:46 PM ET → 2:57 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BNA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.27 in

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3600 · RSW → BNA

Odds over time

How late did it get to BNA?