WN 3605 · HOU → MCI

departs 3:06 PM CT · arrives 5:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ 3pm departures from HOU are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

MCI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3605 · HOU → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?