Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3628
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 3628 · VPS → BNA
departs 6:05 PM CT · arrives 7:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±7 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at VPS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 2.72 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.