WN 3630 · TPA → PIT

took off 5:43 AM ET · expected to land 7:39 AM ET (scheduled 5:40 AM ET → 8:11 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PIT?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ TPA is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from TPA are usually not late

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

PIT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3630 · TPA → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?