Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3649 LANDED 10:33 AM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 3649 · OKC → DAL

took off 9:52 AM CT · landed 10:33 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

OKC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3649 · OKC → DAL

Odds over time