Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 3686 · ELP → DAL
departs 10:25 AM MT · arrives 1:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.