WN 3688 · RNO → LGB

departs 6:46 PM PT · arrives 8:23 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGB?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from RNO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3688 · RNO → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?