WN 3807 · HRL → AUS

departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

86% chance · ±0 pts +36 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
14%
15–30 min late
52%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 3.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ HRL usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HRL (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip4.10 in

AUS (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.10 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3807 · HRL → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?