WN 3829 · SJC → HNL

departs 1:51 PM PT · arrives 4:38 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3829 · SJC → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?