WN 3899 · PNS → STL

departs 11:05 AM CT · arrives 1:02 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

66% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 3.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↓ PNS usually runs smoothly

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.29 in

STL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3899 · PNS → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?