Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3969
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 3969 · VPS → MCI
departs 2:00 PM CT · arrives 4:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.2 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late
↓
VPS usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.16 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.