WN 3978 · SJC → EUG

departs 10:35 AM PT · arrives 12:16 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at EUG more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EUG?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at EUG that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into EUG at that hour are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EUG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3978 · SJC → EUG

Odds over time

How late will it get to EUG?