WN 4044 · HNL → ITO

departs 1:30 PM HT · arrives 2:41 PM HT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ITO?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ITO

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ITO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4044 · HNL → ITO

Odds over time

How late will it get to ITO?