Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4062
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 4062 · VPS → BNA
departs 7:25 AM CT · arrives 8:50 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 3%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
5.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 3.3 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BNA that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
7am departures from VPS are usually not late
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 2.16 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.