Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4063
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 4063 · VPS → BWI
departs 12:15 PM CT · arrives 3:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 17%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave VPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 3.9 in of rain forecast at VPS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at BWI that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
VPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 4.12 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 11 kt
Ceiling 200 ft
Visibility 0.5 mi
Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.