WN 4073 · STL → HOU

took off 5:02 AM CT · expected to land 6:40 AM CT (scheduled 5:00 AM CT → 7:13 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at HOU that day

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ STL is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4073 · STL → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?