WN 4081 · LAX → DEN

departs 6:26 AM PT · arrives 9:50 AM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from LAX are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9.16667 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4081 · LAX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?