WN 4128 · STL → TPA

departs 5:46 AM CT · arrives 9:16 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TPA?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TPA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4128 · STL → TPA

Odds over time

How late will it get to TPA?