WN 4166 · TPA → DEN

departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +44 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
62%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from TPA are often late

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4166 · TPA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?