WN 417 · MDW → MCI

departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 6:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 417 · MDW → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?