WN 4193 · TPA → FLL

departs 9:21 AM ET · arrives 10:30 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ TPA is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

FLL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4193 · TPA → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?