WN 422 · LGA → BNA

departs 1:31 PM ET · arrives 2:53 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

BNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 422 · LGA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?