Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 432 · BNA → TYS
departs 7:25 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at TYS that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.