WN 4343 · SJC → SAN

departs 11:15 AM PT · arrives 12:50 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SJC (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4343 · SJC → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?