WN 4353 · DAL → MCI

took off 12:46 PM CT · expected to land 1:50 PM CT (scheduled 12:14 PM CT → 1:58 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

5% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCI?

LIVE

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DAL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

↓ Sundays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.26 in

MCI (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4353 · DAL → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?