Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4408
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 4408 · HOU → MCO
departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sun 10/4
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at HOU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.40 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.