WN 4417 · MDW → ATL

took off 1:29 PM CT · expected to land 3:57 PM ET (scheduled 1:15 PM CT → 4:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4417 · MDW → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?