Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4460 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, October 4 Today

WN 4460 · MDW → RSW

departs 8:25 AM CT · arrives 11:49 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ MDW is busy at that time

↑ RSW is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4460 · MDW → RSW

Odds over time