Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4467
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 4467 · BNA → SAT
departs 7:55 AM CT · arrives 10:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±1 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
8%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at BNA that day
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
SAT is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into SAT at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.05 in
SAT (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.