WN 4548 · BNA → MDW

departs 10:35 PM CT · arrives 12:20 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4548 · BNA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?