Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4552
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 4552 · DAL → MCI
departs 8:35 PM CT · arrives 10:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
55%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
55%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.21 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.