Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4571
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
WN 4571 · BNA → CLE
departs 10:05 AM CT · arrives 12:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 9%
Fri 10/9 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↑
BNA is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.