WN 4597 · DEN → DSM

departs 6:51 PM MT · arrives 9:39 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DSM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4597 · DEN → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?