Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4698
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 4698 · DAL → MCI
departs 10:40 PM CT · arrives 12:15 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.21 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.