WN 4755 · DAL → MDW

took off 10:48 AM CT · expected to land 12:27 PM CT (scheduled 10:03 AM CT → 12:21 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DAL that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.21 in

MDW (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4755 · DAL → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?