Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4757
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Today
WN 4757 · MCO → BDL
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 11:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
67%
chance · ±0 pts
+24 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
67%
Leave 15+ late
65%
Arrive 1h+ late
35%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
67%
Yes 67%
No 33%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
65%
Yes 65%
No 35%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BDL that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.16 in
BDL (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.